FiveThirtyEight

Apr 22, 2021 · An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

"notes": "How this works: This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. Our model uses Elo ratings (a measure of strength based on head-to-head results and …

Jul 8, 2019 · The FiveThirtyEight Career-Arc Regression Model Estimator with Local Optimization (CARMELO) is a system that forecasts a player's future performance.

Jul 15, 2018 · FiveThirtyEight's MESSI* analysis compares how every athlete played in every men’s World Cup from 1966 to 2018 by generating statistical fingerprints of 5,899 World Cup performances.

Oct 9, 2015 · The FiveThirtyEight Career-Arc Regression Model Estimator with Local Optimization (CARMELO) is a system that forecasts a player's future performance. See how good Marcus …

Lite What Election Day looks like based on polls alone Classic What Election Day looks like based on polls, fundraising, past voting patterns and more Deluxe What Election Day looks like when we add …

Dec 17, 2020 · Plus-minus is derived from our Robust Algorithm using Player Tracking and On-off Ratings (RAPTOR), a measure of the number of points per 100 possessions that a player …

Nov 8, 2022 · Lite What Election Day looks like based on polls alone Classic What Election Day looks like based on polls, fundraising, past voting patterns and more Deluxe What Election Day looks like …

Sep 18, 2022 · Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Read more » Download this data. Design and development by Ryan …