[ { "candidate": "Trump", "party": "REP", "date": "2024-11-05", "pct_estimate": 47.70895, "hi": 48.774834999999996, "lo": 46.7367025 }, { "candidate": "Harris ...

Nov 17, 2022 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Feb 24, 2025 · In 2023, we made changes to the way we calculated our favorability, approval, generic congressional ballot and national 2024 Republican primary polling averages.

FiveThirtyEight

Jan 5, 2021 · All runoff polls FiveThirtyEight’s averages use all runoff polls conducted since the Nov. 3 general election. We adjust polls for house effects based on how much each poll differs from the …